Super 8 Fantasy News

[Cricket] World Cup 2019 Week Four In Review – Permutation & Combination Time

The Cricket World Cup, one of the most keenly anticipated global sporting events of 2019, threatened by rain and drab outcomes in the first half, suddenly came alive in Week 4. As the marquee event approaches the business end, with only one week left of league games, there is a close fight for semi-final berths. Not a single match of the week faced rain issues as the teams were handed an opportunity to play the games in their entirety. There were thrilling encounters, close finishes, closely contested matches, upsets and a whole lot of entertainment.

Australia’s victory over England at Lord’s has made them the first team to enter the semi-final. The five-time champions displayed their mettle and will now be aiming to top the group by winning their last two games against New Zealand and South Africa. England’s loss, though, has opened up a massive opportunity for Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Pakistan and even the West Indies, albeit mathematically. New Zealand and India are in a good position but they will be desperate to avoid a slip-up in their last few league games.

While it looked like a four horse race for the semi-finals with three pre-tournament favourites – England, India and Australia – all well-placed, the fourth team on that list, South Africa, who wildly underwhelmed were dumped out by a resurgent Pakistan in Week 4. Being drawn to face England and India in their first three fixtures was unfortunate – both matches were lost emphatically – but being outplayed by Bangladesh in their second game, in which their fielding efforts were particularly feeble, was disastrous. Since buoyed by a win over Afghanistan, the loss to New Zealand at Edgbaston, a must-win,  definitively blew their chances before Pakistan drove the final nail into the coffin.

The table now looks as fickle as the English summer as over the past seven days, Eoin Morgan’s hosts have suffered a shock defeat to Sri Lanka before being outclassed by Ashes foes Australia at Lord’s to leave their top-four position looking increasingly perilous. Pakistan have taken full advantage, securing impressive wins over South Africa and New Zealand to firmly pile the pressure on them.

Those results, not to mention West Indies all-rounder Carlos Brathwaite’s heroic hitting and Mohammed Shami’s hat-trick for India, have made for an enthralling week at the World Cup.

RESULTS
GAME 26: Australia vs Bangladesh, Australia won by 48 runs
GAME 27: England vs Sri Lanka, Sri Lanka won by 20 runs
GAME 28: India vs Afghanistan, India won by 11 runs
GAME 29: West Indies vs New Zealand, New Zealand won by 5 runs
GAME 30: Pakistan vs South Africa, Pakistan won by 49 runs
GAME 31: Bangladesh vs Afghanistan, Bangladesh won by 62 runs
GAME 32: England vs Australia, Australia won by 64 runs
GAME 33: New Zealand vs Pakistan, Pakistan won by 6 wkts

The talking point of the week though was this…

POINTS TABLE

With South Africa and Afghanistan already eliminated and with Australia securing qualification for the semi-final, here is what the remaining teams need to do.

THE KEY FACTOR
As number of wins is the first tie-breaker in case of two or more teams finishing with the same points, each game Week 5 holds importance for all the teams. Remember, two of Sri Lanka’s games were rained off. So if they lose one of their remaining three games and end with 10 points and another team has the same points, the number of wins factor could hurt the 1996 champions.

Here’s the current situation and what the sides need to do in order be part of the final four –

NEW ZEALAND


With five wins from seven games, the Kiwis are second on the table with 11 points. Their fixture against India was washed out.
MATCHES LEFT: 2 (Against Australia and England)

WHAT THEY NEED TO DO TO QUALIFY FOR THE SEMIS
One more victory will confirm New Zealand’s spot in the last-four.

WHAT IF THEY DON’T WIN ANY OF THEIR REMAINING MATCHES
They stay on 11 points. However, they would really need luck to go their way in terms of other results: Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Pakistan should lose at least one of their remaining games so that the three sides don’t end up with 11 points.

INDIA


India survived a scare against Afghanistan to remain unbeaten in the tournament. So far, they have won four of their five games. Their match against New Zealand was rained off.
MATCHES LEFT: 4 (Against West Indies, England, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka)

WHAT THEY NEED TO DO TO QUALIFY FOR SEMIS
A couple of victories will secure their place in the semifinals.

WHAT IF THEY LOSE ALL THEIR REMAINING MATCHES
They stay on nine points and hope Sri Lanka don’t win more than one game and Bangladesh lose both their remaining games. Also, West Indies must lose one match to not have a chance of getting to nine points and Pakistan must not win their remaining two fixtures.

ENGLAND


So far, the hosts have four wins from seven games.
MATCHES LEFT: 2 (Against India and New Zealand)

WHAT THEY NEED TO DO TO QUALIFY FOR SEMIS
Win both their remaining matches

WHAT IF THEY LOSE ALL THEIR REMAINING MATCHES
They stay on eight points and will be on the verge of elimination. However, they can still qualify for the semis if –
– Sri Lanka lose all their remaining matches
– Pakistan and Bangladesh lose both their remaining matches
– West Indies lose one

NOTE – If both England and Sri Lanka end with eight points (considering Pakistan, Bangladesh and West Indies finish with less than eight points), the NRR of ENG and SL will decide the semi-finalist.

SRI LANKA


They have six points from as many games.
MATCHES LEFT: 3 (Against South Africa, West Indies and India)

WHAT THEY NEED TO DO TO QUALIFY FOR SEMIS
If they win all their remaining games, they should qualify for the knockout round. However, if they end on 10 points, they will have to hope that England lose all their remaining matches, Bangladesh do not win both their remaining games and Pakistan lose at least one.

WHAT IF THEY DON’T WIN ANY OF THEIR REMAINING GAMES
They will be eliminated

BANGLADESH


So far, they have three wins from seven matches. Their encounter against Sri Lanka was washed out.
MATCHES LEFT: 2 (Against India and Pakistan)

WHAT THEY NEED TO DO TO QUALIFY FOR SEMIS
If they win all their remaining matches, Bangladesh will end with 11 points, and can still qualify – if Sri Lanka lose at least one of their remaining three matches and England win not more than one.

WHAT IF THEY DON’T WIN ANY OF THEIR REMAINING GAMES
They will be out of the competition

WEST INDIES


The two-time champions have just three points from six games.
MATCHES LEFT: 3 (India, Sri Lanka and Afghanistan)

WHAT THEY NEED TO DO TO QUALIFY FOR SEMIS
They must win all their remaining three matches and hope that –
– England lose all their remaining matches
– Sri Lanka win not more than one
– Pakistan lose both their remaining games
– Bangladesh get defeated in both their remaining matches

WHAT IF THEY DON’T WIN ANY OF THEIR REMAINING GAMES
They will be knocked out

PAKISTAN


Pakistan have won three of their seven games.
MATCHES LEFT: 2 (Against Afghanistan and Bangladesh)

WHAT THEY NEED TO DO TO QUALIFY FOR SEMIS
If they manage to win their remaining two matches, they will end with 11 points. They’ll then have to hope that England don’t win more than one and Sri Lanka and Bangladesh lose at least one match each.

WHAT IF THEY LOSE ALL THEIR REMAINING GAMES
They will be out of the competition

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